p10ama
0xe8a23fbb927521c30fce4b34fdc36fb9474c560e
- Realised P&L
- $667.26
- Volume
- $37.3k
- Markets traded
- 138
- Open portfolio
- $222.40
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded138
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$331.16at 0.031Will Kyle Campbell win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?
- +$247.85at 0.091Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
- +$242.50at 0.030Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?
- +$242.50at 0.030Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?
- +$135.00at 0.100Will Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:05 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $35.00 |
| 09-14 17:38 | Will Kyle Campbell win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election? | BUY | 0.0315228491 | $9.00 |
| 09-13 20:26 | Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $32.00 |
| 09-12 19:55 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6899999874 | $18.00 |
| 09-12 19:44 | Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election? | BUY | 0.7149161455 | $18.00 |
| 09-12 18:55 | Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6899999874 | $18.00 |
| 09-12 18:50 | Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $18.00 |
| 09-12 18:45 | Will Ulf Prange win the next Oldenburg mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5 | $18.00 |
| 09-12 18:24 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.6599999941 | $18.00 |
| 09-12 18:13 | Will Genta Koja win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.7899999952 | $18.00 |
| 09-11 06:31 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8 | $18.40 |
| 09-08 19:18 | Will Victor Mellor be the RI-02 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.2699999976 | $19.00 |
| 09-08 18:11 | Will Sabina Matos be the Rhode Island Lieutenant Governor Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $20.00 |
| 09-08 18:10 | Will Keith Hoffmann be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.1463414631 | $20.00 |
| 09-07 15:58 | Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | BUY | 0.0299999959 | $7.00 |