SlavaUkraini
0xe899b5ea69afb161da7a35597b6fe70398860899
- Realised P&L
- $726.0k
- Volume
- $35.23M
- Markets traded
- 297
- Open portfolio
- $693.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded297
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$204.4kat 0.467Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$153.2kat 0.919Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$116.1kat 0.777Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
- +$55.6kat 0.250If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
- +$48.0kat 0.777Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 16:54 | Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | BUY | 0.5508778116 | $2.2k |
| 10-31 16:53 | Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.2814688129 | $174.86 |
| 10-30 17:19 | Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.3395918997 | $297.32 |
| 10-29 22:36 | Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.3118697351 | $933.71 |
| 10-29 22:23 | Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | BUY | 0.4993904037 | $2.0k |
| 10-28 18:33 | Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | BUY | 0.4852251959 | $626.04 |
| 10-27 19:13 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.65 | $2.2k |
| 10-27 02:06 | Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.28 | $3.7k |
| 10-27 02:06 | Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.2757787345 | $3.1k |
| 10-27 01:34 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.66 | $33.0k |
| 10-26 19:51 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.66 | $33.0k |
| 10-26 19:51 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $7.6k |
| 10-26 19:51 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.7322289825 | $29.0k |
| 10-26 19:37 | Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | BUY | 0.4775820274 | $1.3k |
| 10-25 18:12 | Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.216908064 | $2.0k |