PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Griselda-071

0xe899059a7ba89190bcf719d7baf6c74b15a54852

Realised P&L
$-0.12
Volume
$750.68
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$8.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2? · Yes0.8300.895$1.12+$0.08
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on September 30? · Yes0.9401.000$1.09+$0.07
Fetterman out by September 30, 2026? · No0.9991.000$1.08+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 1? · No0.9980.999$1.05+$0.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.9000.895$1.03−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 1? · No0.9991.000$1.01+$0.00
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? · Yes0.7860.765$0.97−$0.03
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? · Yes0.7320.626$0.86−$0.14
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$0.65
Will GenesisCupChampion win the Genesis Cup? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$0.58
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$0.54
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$0.58
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 2.5%? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$0.50
Will Manchester City finish first in UCL league phase? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$0.58
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$0.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 14:18Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 1?SELL0.993$4.93
09-30 14:14Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?BUY0.7319999209$1.00
09-30 14:08Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m?BUY0.7858921221$1.00
09-30 14:07Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 1?BUY0.997999842$6.00
09-30 14:05Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?SELL0.998$8.01
09-30 14:03Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?BUY0.999$9.10
09-30 14:01Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on September 30?BUY0.94$1.02
09-30 13:59Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9$1.04
09-30 13:57Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 1?SELL0.998$9.98
09-30 13:57Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?BUY0.8299993695$1.04
09-30 13:55Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 1?BUY0.999$11.00
05-25 03:23Trump out as President by May 31?SELL0.997$5.66
05-25 03:23Trump out as President by May 31?BUY0.998$6.80
05-25 03:22Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $510 in May?SELL0.998$6.95
05-25 03:22Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $510 in May?BUY0.999$8.02