Griselda-071
0xe899059a7ba89190bcf719d7baf6c74b15a54852
- Realised P&L
- $-0.12
- Volume
- $750.68
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $8.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.50at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3?
- +$0.65at 0.500Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
- +$0.62at 0.500Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?
- +$0.59at 0.500US Treasury transactions on blockchain in 2025?
- +$0.58at 0.500Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 1? | SELL | 0.993 | $4.93 |
| 09-30 14:14 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? | BUY | 0.7319999209 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 14:08 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? | BUY | 0.7858921221 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 14:07 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 1? | BUY | 0.997999842 | $6.00 |
| 09-30 14:05 | Fetterman out by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $8.01 |
| 09-30 14:03 | Fetterman out by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.10 |
| 09-30 14:01 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on September 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.02 |
| 09-30 13:59 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.04 |
| 09-30 13:57 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 09-30 13:57 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2? | BUY | 0.8299993695 | $1.04 |
| 09-30 13:55 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 05-25 03:23 | Trump out as President by May 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $5.66 |
| 05-25 03:23 | Trump out as President by May 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.80 |
| 05-25 03:22 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $510 in May? | SELL | 0.998 | $6.95 |
| 05-25 03:22 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $510 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.02 |