Fabian17
0xe8920c182fc1c43a3f21bc168ac51707d0de05f6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $43.5k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $499.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$287.71at 0.041Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
- +$137.50at 0.080Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
- +$99.77at 0.253Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
- +$89.05at 0.019Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$42.20at 0.189Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 17:49 | Will Isaias peak at Category 3? | BUY | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 10-07 22:23 | Will Isaias peak at Category 1 or weaker? | BUY | 0.45 | $27.00 |
| 10-07 22:23 | Will Rachel peak at Category 2? | SELL | 0.9887475 | $158.20 |
| 10-01 20:15 | Will Rachel peak at Category 2? | BUY | 0.92 | $36.80 |
| 10-01 20:14 | Will Rachel peak at Category 2? | BUY | 0.91 | $109.20 |
| 09-29 23:43 | Will Rachel peak at Category 4? | BUY | 0.236666111 | $14.20 |
| 09-29 23:36 | Will Rachel peak at Category 4? | BUY | 0.2 | $32.46 |
| 09-28 13:06 | Will Nolo peak at Category 5? | BUY | 0.5 | $90.00 |
| 09-28 13:05 | Will Nolo peak at Category 5? | BUY | 0.4884848485 | $10.16 |
| 09-28 13:02 | Will Nolo peak at Category 4? | BUY | 0.5 | $110.81 |
| 09-28 12:11 | Will Nolo peak at Category 4? | BUY | 0.38 | $4.56 |
| 09-22 15:53 | Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $120.00 |
| 09-21 17:00 | Tropical Storm Polo strengthens to a hurricane? | BUY | 0.963917349 | $290.00 |
| 09-15 16:54 | Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $116.15 |
| 02-18 21:00 | Will Opalite by Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 28? | BUY | 0.9 | $85.14 |