PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Fabian17

0xe8920c182fc1c43a3f21bc168ac51707d0de05f6

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$43.5k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$499.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nolo peak at Category 4? · Yes0.4940.979$228.60+$113.23
Will Nolo peak at Category 5? · No0.4990.991$198.98+$98.83
Will Isaias peak at Category 1 or weaker? · Yes0.2720.150$56.10−$45.49
Will Isaias peak at Category 3? · No0.6000.615$12.30+$0.30
Will Rachel peak at Category 4? · Yes0.2080.015$3.37−$44.89
Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 28? · No0.3300.000$0.00−$93.01
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be between 450k and 500k · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$0.60
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be between 400k and 450k? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$48.00
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$7.60
Will Google reach $335 in November? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$11.20
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3880.000$0.00−$1.1k
Will North Carolina be the closest state? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$108.07
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$726.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 17:49Will Isaias peak at Category 3?BUY0.6$12.00
10-07 22:23Will Isaias peak at Category 1 or weaker?BUY0.45$27.00
10-07 22:23Will Rachel peak at Category 2?SELL0.9887475$158.20
10-01 20:15Will Rachel peak at Category 2?BUY0.92$36.80
10-01 20:14Will Rachel peak at Category 2?BUY0.91$109.20
09-29 23:43Will Rachel peak at Category 4?BUY0.236666111$14.20
09-29 23:36Will Rachel peak at Category 4?BUY0.2$32.46
09-28 13:06Will Nolo peak at Category 5?BUY0.5$90.00
09-28 13:05Will Nolo peak at Category 5?BUY0.4884848485$10.16
09-28 13:02Will Nolo peak at Category 4?BUY0.5$110.81
09-28 12:11Will Nolo peak at Category 4?BUY0.38$4.56
09-22 15:53Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?SELL0.6$120.00
09-21 17:00Tropical Storm Polo strengthens to a hurricane?BUY0.963917349$290.00
09-15 16:54Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?BUY0.61$116.15
02-18 21:00Will Opalite by Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 28?BUY0.9$85.14