PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xE88f3C454e601816d9478e2A8a34912c153010Ba-1765968134630

0xe88f3c454e601816d9478e2a8a34912c153010ba

Realised P&L
$-491.51
Volume
$6.7k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$122.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? · Yes0.5100.215$62.50$85.79
Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat? · Yes0.8600.895$35.80+$1.40
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3090.021$24.08$321.92
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$4.95
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$19.63
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$4.70
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00$12.24
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.6090.000$0.00$52.35
Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? · Yes0.3670.000$0.00$128.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 06:40Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat?BUY0.86$34.40
06-24 19:10Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.67$357.78
04-07 11:49Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?BUY0.221$0.44
03-03 16:41Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7969425094$425.57
03-03 16:31Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Michigan State SpartansBUY0.85$0.29
03-03 16:24Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?SELL0.091$0.03
03-03 16:23Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?SELL0.053$1.17
03-03 16:23Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?SELL0.05594$1.01
03-03 16:21Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?SELL0.093506776$17.11
03-03 16:21Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?SELL0.1736161838$53.81
02-28 18:02Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?BUY0.2644680499$63.99
02-28 16:27Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?BUY0.0988769565$4.55
02-28 14:16Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.1$4.70
02-28 14:14Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?BUY0.313895598$16.12
02-28 14:04Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?BUY0.4988$24.94