PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xE88f3C454e601816d9478e2A8a34912c153010Ba-1765968134630

0xe88f3c454e601816d9478e2a8a34912c153010ba

Realised P&L
$-88.75
Volume
$6.7k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$95.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat? · Yes0.8600.920$36.80+$2.40
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? · Yes0.5100.120$34.88−$113.41
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3090.021$24.08−$321.92
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00−$4.95
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$19.63
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$4.70
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00−$12.24
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.6090.000$0.00−$52.35
Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? · Yes0.3670.000$0.00−$128.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 06:40Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat?BUY0.86$34.40
06-24 19:10Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.67$357.78
04-07 11:49Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?BUY0.221$0.44
03-03 16:41Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7969425094$425.57
03-03 16:31Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Michigan State SpartansBUY0.85$0.29
03-03 16:24Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?SELL0.091$0.03
03-03 16:23Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?SELL0.053$1.17
03-03 16:23Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?SELL0.05594$1.01
03-03 16:21Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?SELL0.093506776$17.11
03-03 16:21Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?SELL0.1736161838$53.81
02-28 18:02Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?BUY0.2644680499$63.99
02-28 16:27Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?BUY0.0988769565$4.55
02-28 14:16Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.1$4.70
02-28 14:14Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?BUY0.313895598$16.12
02-28 14:04Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?BUY0.4988$24.94