PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fortunecookiebby

0xe88b238ffdd2598e4f1cf75813556727e663f597

Realised P&L
$106.21
Volume
$15.4k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$54.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.2100.190$31.67−$3.33
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0830.075$9.09−$0.91
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes0.2900.245$8.45−$1.55
Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.3400.190$5.58−$4.42
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00−$10.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$10.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$10.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? · No0.2100.000$0.00−$10.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · No0.3100.000$0.00−$30.00
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) · Paris Saint-Germain FC0.1900.000$0.00−$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 18:50Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.3404669211$10.00
10-15 18:48Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0830903163$10.00
10-15 18:47US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.2099999996$35.00
07-22 12:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.3099999946$30.00
07-22 12:00Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.2099999861$10.00
05-30 15:39Exact Score: Any Other Score?BUY0.0869178837$10.00
05-30 15:38Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)BUY0.1899999959$30.00
05-21 18:53Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.2899999846$10.00
04-21 20:20US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?SELL0.17$9.99
04-21 18:59Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?BUY0.3399999857$10.00
04-20 13:36Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?SELL0.0835988047$6.43
04-20 11:26Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?SELL0.15$7.05
04-19 18:38Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?BUY0.2043119306$5.00
04-19 18:38Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?BUY0.212819458$10.00
04-19 18:37Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?BUY0.1904761905$10.00