PolyBot

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Traders

Creamethod

0xe87f99db88da7a2e1b1b81cc71685a243b99f8e7

Realised P&L
$7.4k
Volume
$306.7k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$43.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration59.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? · Yes0.2500.815$24.4k+$16.9k
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · Yes0.1410.515$6.6k+$4.8k
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? · Yes0.7340.735$6.4k+$5.81
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5900.610$6.1k+$200.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Down0.3510.000$0.00$290.44
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2840.000$0.00$39.2k
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET · Up0.2090.000$0.00$300.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 17:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETSELL0.03$17.93
09-18 17:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.3507133604$500.00
09-18 17:14Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?BUY0.88$88.00
09-18 17:14Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?BUY0.87$87.00
09-17 03:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETBUY0.1911051996$100.00
09-17 03:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETBUY0.2099999996$100.00
09-17 03:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETBUY0.2307982284$100.00
09-17 03:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETBUY0.2518603761$100.00
09-10 16:03LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?BUY0.91$184.73
09-10 15:54LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.051$383.47
09-10 13:43LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.17$34.00
09-10 13:43LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.17$17.00
09-10 13:42LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.17$17.00
09-10 04:20LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.693434424$1000.00
09-10 03:17LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.7147272445$1000.00