LilLoose
0xe87f68b0d34e07b0d3edb26a08ae7966c044f1e6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $157.3k
- Markets traded
- 400
- Open portfolio
- $23.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded400
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$359.10at 0.582Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$221.03at 0.956World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
- +$204.70at 0.949Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$190.00at 0.810Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
- +$166.66at 0.834Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 15:57 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 20? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.80 |
| 08-19 06:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.9168213605 | $86.53 |
| 08-19 05:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.9221404304 | $32.57 |
| 08-18 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.032084317 | $9.51 |
| 08-18 05:53 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.09 | $5.47 |
| 08-18 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.06 | $7.72 |
| 08-18 05:50 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.13 | $12.20 |
| 08-17 17:41 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.0080545626 | $3.42 |
| 08-17 06:26 | RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9 | $50.03 |
| 08-16 21:15 | Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.84 | $50.00 |
| 08-16 20:51 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.48 |
| 08-16 20:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 18? | BUY | 0.72 | $29.52 |
| 08-15 14:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on August 16? | BUY | 0.74 | $55.06 |
| 08-15 13:51 | Newcastle United vs. Bayer Leverkusen: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.85 | $30.00 |
| 08-13 06:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on August 15? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |