PolyBot

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Traders

LilLoose

0xe87f68b0d34e07b0d3edb26a08ae7966c044f1e6

Realised P&L
$269.55
Volume
$154.6k
Markets traded
398
Open portfolio
$24.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded398
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9240.955$5.2k+$167.89
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9400.961$3.1k+$67.02
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9400.945$3.0k+$15.96
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · No0.9000.935$2.1k+$77.78
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.8850.875$1.9k$21.85
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.815$1.7k$199.12
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · No0.9370.990$989.99+$53.00
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.905$973.12$26.88
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · No0.9000.905$905.00+$5.00
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.865$865.00$55.00
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.5820.960$824.29+$324.30
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.755$755.00$145.00
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? · No0.6910.495$487.62$192.86
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.4400.840$381.82+$181.82
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.605$302.50$107.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-19 15:57Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 20?SELL0.12$1.80
08-19 06:06Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 19?BUY0.9168213605$86.53
08-19 05:53Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 19?BUY0.9221404304$32.57
08-18 06:00Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 19?SELL0.032084317$9.51
08-18 05:53Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 19?SELL0.09$5.47
08-18 05:51Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 19?SELL0.06$7.72
08-18 05:50Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 19?BUY0.13$12.20
08-17 17:41Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 19?BUY0.0080545626$3.42
08-17 06:26RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF: O/U 0.5BUY0.9$50.03
08-16 21:15Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 5.5BUY0.84$50.00
08-16 20:51Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 17?BUY0.08$2.48
08-16 20:02Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 18?BUY0.72$29.52
08-15 14:03Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on August 16?BUY0.74$55.06
08-15 13:51Newcastle United vs. Bayer Leverkusen: O/U 1.5BUY0.85$30.00
08-13 06:15Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on August 15?BUY0.56$2.80