flarren
0xe87b25044e813ca80bc1dc4e1fb4c6c6c1941a52
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $136.0k
- Markets traded
- 396
- Open portfolio
- $124.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded396
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$505.20at 0.086Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24?
- +$353.09at 0.201Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 7-13?
- +$345.33at 0.159Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 15?
- +$277.37at 0.311Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 17?
- +$240.36at 0.209Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 05:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.1499999998 | $32.59 |
| 09-15 05:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.1473529412 | $61.72 |
| 09-14 16:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.1801009898 | $74.55 |
| 09-14 16:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $15.00 |
| 09-14 16:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.1818545164 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 13:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.36 | $18.00 |
| 09-14 13:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.4564488275 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 13:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14? | SELL | 0.5191353834 | $77.99 |
| 09-14 13:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14? | SELL | 0.3688530919 | $55.41 |
| 09-14 06:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.3 | $96.00 |
| 09-14 05:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.3328112756 | $100.00 |
| 09-11 16:14 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September? | BUY | 0.2 | $40.00 |
| 09-10 18:11 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.1899999999 | $83.94 |
| 09-10 18:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.1192835819 | $23.31 |
| 09-09 02:59 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September? | BUY | 0.16 | $28.02 |