PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

flarren

0xe87b25044e813ca80bc1dc4e1fb4c6c6c1941a52

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$136.0k
Markets traded
396
Open portfolio
$124.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded396
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September? · Yes0.1130.046$41.59$60.94
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? · Yes0.3000.085$27.20$68.80
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September? · Yes0.1810.065$24.38$43.64
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? · Yes0.0850.037$16.95$22.05
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? · Yes0.1190.055$10.75$12.56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1000.038$3.85$6.15
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 5? · No0.0350.000$0.00$39.00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 14? · Yes0.1780.000$0.00$89.55
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,700 on April 16? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 2? · Yes0.3520.000$0.00$51.59
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Up0.5430.000$0.00$8.22
Will Ryan O'Reilly win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.03
Will Franz Wagner win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.02
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 05:35Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15?BUY0.1499999998$32.59
09-15 05:28Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15?BUY0.1473529412$61.72
09-14 16:50Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 14?BUY0.1801009898$74.55
09-14 16:49Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 14?BUY0.1699999983$15.00
09-14 16:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 15?BUY0.1818545164$100.00
09-14 13:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14?BUY0.36$18.00
09-14 13:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14?BUY0.4564488275$100.00
09-14 13:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14?SELL0.5191353834$77.99
09-14 13:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14?SELL0.3688530919$55.41
09-14 06:02Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?BUY0.3$96.00
09-14 05:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14?BUY0.3328112756$100.00
09-11 16:14Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?BUY0.2$40.00
09-10 18:11Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 7-13?BUY0.1899999999$83.94
09-10 18:02Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.1192835819$23.31
09-09 02:59Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?BUY0.16$28.02