0xe86C7B19180A77c96482Ad544cEd4b0Cc430a971-1776322671043
0xe86c7b19180a77c96482ad544ced4b0cc430a971
- Realised P&L
- $4.20
- Volume
- $163.67
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $1.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.853 | 0.928 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Lando Norris win 3+ Grands Prix in 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.250 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.63at 0.789Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
- +$1.38at 0.786Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
- +$1.04at 0.657Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
- +$0.93at 0.519Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
- +$0.90at 0.880Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 14:23 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.69 | $1.77 |
| 09-13 13:59 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8899996084 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 13:53 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.28 |
| 09-12 15:41 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 09:07 | Will Lando Norris win 3+ Grands Prix in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 09:04 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 16:56 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.8529999582 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 13:42 | Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Hamilton? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 13:00 | Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.849999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 12:58 | Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.7769999832 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 12:57 | Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9502982039 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 12:46 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.1129999064 | $1.00 |
| 04-30 12:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $2.00 |
| 04-30 12:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 04-30 12:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |