0xe8665d5159510330D34a513df75F2C5F0834057b-1772010016291
0xe8665d5159510330d34a513df75f2c5f0834057b
- Realised P&L
- $-305.02
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 160
- Open portfolio
- $281.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded160
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.295 | 0.245 | $271.79 | −$55.98 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 6AM ET · Up | 0.990 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.05 |
| XRP Up or Down - March 20, 6AM ET · Up | 0.745 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$1.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.20at 0.516Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
- +$42.91at 0.531Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
- +$11.00at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
- +$10.33at 0.452XRP Up or Down - March 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
- +$9.52at 0.495Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-20 11:13 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.981 | $4.90 |
| 03-20 11:13 | Solana Up or Down - March 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.986 | $4.93 |
| 03-20 10:54 | XRP Up or Down - March 20, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 03-20 10:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 03-20 10:39 | Solana Up or Down - March 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 03-20 09:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 03-20 09:56 | XRP Up or Down - March 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.982 | $4.91 |
| 03-20 09:43 | XRP Up or Down - March 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 03-18 08:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.35 | $3.41 |
| 03-18 07:45 | XRP Up or Down - March 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.36 | $3.50 |
| 03-18 07:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $4.27 |
| 03-18 07:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.42 | $4.08 |
| 03-18 07:35 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.29 | $2.84 |
| 03-17 22:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 03-17 06:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $4.48 |