BbyKiruaa
0xe85e7dc36ef75326a44a038c4c9afc354cd21fc8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $44.6k
- Markets traded
- 275
- Open portfolio
- $31.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded275
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.514 | 0.044 | $25.99 | −$274.01 |
| Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.207 | 0.013 | $5.02 | −$78.15 |
| Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.002 | $0.08 | −$0.92 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.67at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
- +$81.96at 0.554Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
- +$80.58at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
- +$80.00at 0.270Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
- +$76.09at 0.764Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 21:00 | Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | SELL | 0.65 | $29.54 |
| 09-04 20:59 | Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 20:56 | Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.29 |
| 09-04 20:54 | Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | SELL | 0.67 | $0.17 |
| 09-04 20:54 | Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | SELL | 0.64 | $20.48 |
| 09-04 20:53 | Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 18:55 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? | BUY | 0.6699999987 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 16:43 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.4093818121 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 18:11 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $5.01 |
| 07-30 17:08 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3389999675 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 18:31 | Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0183380248 | $3.00 |
| 07-23 21:10 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster? | SELL | 0.0154466667 | $2.32 |
| 07-23 21:04 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster? | BUY | 0.02 | $3.00 |
| 07-23 17:26 | Will Leavitt say "World Cup" during the next White House Press Briefing? | BUY | 0.0639763661 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 10:32 | Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Lanlana Tararudee | SELL | 0.29 | $2.64 |