crkz
0xe85db4cef9ccce8b9833ec0272b3f8971a41c233
- Realised P&L
- $23.01
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $262.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Filho win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.334 | 0.380 | $124.61 | +$14.94 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.557 | 0.557 | $100.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.315 | $20.05 | −$0.95 |
| Will São Bernardo FC vs. CR Brasil end in a draw? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.285 | $18.05 | −$0.95 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? · No | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Belgium vs. France: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Eagles vs. Bears · Eagles | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Belgium vs. France: France O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.34at 0.502Will CR Brasil win on 2026-09-27?
- +$30.56at 0.456Will France win on 2026-09-28?
- +$-0.10at 0.430Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-4.05at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 12:55 | Will Renan Filho win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.382252679 | $24.67 |
| 10-02 12:54 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5569999989 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 12:52 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.44 | $107.69 |
| 10-02 12:07 | Will São Bernardo FC vs. CR Brasil end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2999999968 | $19.00 |
| 10-02 12:07 | Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.3299999981 | $21.00 |
| 09-28 22:48 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4199999984 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 22:46 | Will Renan Filho win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.3227310734 | $85.00 |
| 09-28 22:29 | Eagles vs. Bears | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 22:27 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 22:18 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.999 | $56.25 |
| 09-28 18:43 | Belgium vs. France: France O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 18:41 | Belgium vs. France: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 18:30 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4399999883 | $15.00 |
| 09-28 18:26 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 21:27 | Will CR Brasil win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $75.12 |