PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

crkz

0xe85db4cef9ccce8b9833ec0272b3f8971a41c233

Realised P&L
$23.01
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$262.79

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration55.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Filho win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election? · Yes0.3340.380$124.61+$14.94
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5570.557$100.09+$0.09
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.3300.315$20.05−$0.95
Will São Bernardo FC vs. CR Brasil end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.285$18.05−$0.95
Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? · No0.1900.000$0.00−$10.00
Belgium vs. France: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.6400.000$0.00−$10.00
Eagles vs. Bears · Eagles0.6400.000$0.00−$10.00
Belgium vs. France: France O/U 1.5 · Over0.5100.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 12:55Will Renan Filho win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?BUY0.382252679$24.67
10-02 12:54Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5569999989$100.00
10-02 12:52Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.44$107.69
10-02 12:07Will São Bernardo FC vs. CR Brasil end in a draw?BUY0.2999999968$19.00
10-02 12:07Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.3299999981$21.00
09-28 22:48Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4199999984$100.00
09-28 22:46Will Renan Filho win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?BUY0.3227310734$85.00
09-28 22:29Eagles vs. BearsBUY0.64$10.00
09-28 22:27Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.1899999998$10.00
09-28 22:18Will France win on 2026-09-28?SELL0.999$56.25
09-28 18:43Belgium vs. France: France O/U 1.5BUY0.5099999776$10.00
09-28 18:41Belgium vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.64$10.00
09-28 18:30Will France win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.4399999883$15.00
09-28 18:26Will France win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.4499999843$10.00
09-27 21:27Will CR Brasil win on 2026-09-27?SELL0.999$75.12