Peter28.
0xe85a2d8d9c44dfac03dcf0b308c3332a7d9aeb12
- Realised P&L
- $-137.54
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $3.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the LA-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.979 | $3.82 | +$2.26 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.86 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.82 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 10, 2026? · No | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 11, 2026? · No | 0.068 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.50at 0.690Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$-14.05at 0.238Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
- +$-51.31at 0.157Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 15:38 | Will the Democratic Party win the LA-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.56 |
| 04-19 09:21 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | BUY | 0.6899998943 | $1.11 |
| 04-19 09:21 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.66 |
| 04-13 12:02 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | BUY | 0.3099999364 | $2.00 |
| 04-13 05:03 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.69 |
| 04-12 18:52 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.0270000008 | $1.00 |
| 04-12 18:23 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 04-12 17:18 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 04-12 12:31 | Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | BUY | 0.016 | $4.00 |
| 04-12 12:30 | Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%? | BUY | 0.0272264681 | $4.00 |
| 04-12 12:30 | Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%? | BUY | 0.0279999934 | $4.00 |
| 04-12 12:30 | Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%? | BUY | 0.0469999893 | $4.00 |
| 04-12 12:16 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 04-11 09:48 | Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | BUY | 0.0278663531 | $5.00 |
| 04-10 05:32 | Military action against Iran ends by April 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.067522067 | $5.00 |