0xe8573765909DC53a3DAb06555fF6bE8FA16a3EbD-1780679592598
0xe8573765909dc53a3dab06555ff6be8fa16a3ebd
- Realised P&L
- $-63.81
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $5.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.032 | $5.33 | −$4.67 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.422 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in June? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.58at 0.520Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
- +$26.44at 0.276Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
- +$8.26at 0.507Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
- +$-0.27at 0.775Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?
- +$-0.44at 0.681Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 23:26 | Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 22:59 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4219999839 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 01:16 | Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? | BUY | 0.078450352 | $7.00 |
| 07-03 01:15 | Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in June? | BUY | 0.0127839183 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 01:12 | Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3099999895 | $20.00 |
| 07-03 01:12 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.32 | $25.00 |
| 06-25 02:23 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | SELL | 0.96 | $27.69 |
| 06-25 02:22 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.24 |
| 06-25 02:22 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $6.79 |
| 06-25 02:22 | Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.32 |
| 06-25 01:52 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999809 | $7.00 |
| 06-25 01:50 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | SELL | 0.011 | $4.23 |
| 06-25 01:42 | Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3399999855 | $15.00 |
| 06-25 01:41 | Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? | SELL | 0.32 | $20.00 |
| 06-25 01:27 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |