PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe8573765909DC53a3DAb06555fF6bE8FA16a3EbD-1780679592598

0xe8573765909dc53a3dab06555ff6be8fa16a3ebd

Realised P&L
$-63.81
Volume
$10.1k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$5.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration59.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? · Yes0.0600.032$5.33$4.67
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4220.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in June? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$5.00
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$20.00
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00$10.00
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$25.00
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 23:26Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?BUY0.0599999946$10.00
07-15 22:59Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4219999839$10.00
07-03 01:16Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?BUY0.078450352$7.00
07-03 01:15Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in June?BUY0.0127839183$5.00
07-03 01:12Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.3099999895$20.00
07-03 01:12Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.32$25.00
06-25 02:23Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?SELL0.96$27.69
06-25 02:22Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?SELL0.005$0.24
06-25 02:22Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.65$6.79
06-25 02:22Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?SELL0.03$1.32
06-25 01:52Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.6699999809$7.00
06-25 01:50 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?SELL0.011$4.23
06-25 01:42Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?BUY0.3399999855$15.00
06-25 01:41Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?SELL0.32$20.00
06-25 01:27Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.2099999861$10.00