Mobilc
0xe855502b8c19bc1f2674d53a3dd7eb6ca4f7a4ad
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $3.75M
- Markets traded
- 294
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded294
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.397 | 0.245 | $1.5k | −$909.99 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.065 | $65.00 | −$75.00 |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.060 | $60.00 | −$130.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No | 0.942 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$980.07at 0.219Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
- +$727.48at 0.998Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
- +$436.44at 0.993Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
- +$404.33at 0.992Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$249.77at 0.870Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 11:19 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.981 | $51.94 |
| 10-15 18:16 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.3k |
| 10-15 18:16 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.4k |
| 10-09 14:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $649.35 |
| 10-08 21:20 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $97.26 |
| 10-08 18:39 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $645.95 |
| 10-08 18:35 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $618.76 |
| 10-08 18:35 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.9k |
| 10-06 12:04 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 10-06 12:04 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.8k |
| 10-06 12:03 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.0k |
| 10-06 12:03 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9967126091 | $1.1k |
| 09-24 13:53 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $685.13 |
| 09-24 13:51 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9794754333 | $2.9k |
| 07-07 06:25 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.941 | $32.40 |