0xe84ff862c0f6637c00854557c7314ada6b0921c2
0xe84ff862c0f6637c00854557c7314ada6b0921c2
- Realised P&L
- $-3.01
- Volume
- $112.41
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $0.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of October 12 above $205? · No | 0.430 | 0.335 | $0.78 | −$0.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.82at 0.268S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 25?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$2.20at 0.319Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$1.54at 0.400Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 17:26 | Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of October 12 above $205? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:32 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:11 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:26 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:23 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 01:18 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:47 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:47 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:55 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 12:56 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:50 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 25? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 05:51 | Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 05:51 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |