alwayspolwin
0xe84a50d24656dadbdae98fbb3dac8375bf7701e5
- Realised P&L
- $-86.5k
- Volume
- $382.9k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-22.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Clippers (-3.5) · Kings | 0.440 | 0.435 | $1.2k | −$13.50 |
| Spread: Clippers (-2.5) · Kings | 0.410 | 0.405 | $895.05 | −$11.05 |
| Spread: Wizards (-3.5) · Bucks | 0.450 | 0.455 | $837.20 | +$9.20 |
| Spread: Rockets (-11.5) · Rockets | 0.440 | 0.440 | $393.80 | +$0.00 |
| FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.190 | 0.185 | $370.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.2kat 0.557Wild vs. Oilers
- +$5.3kat 0.327Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 39.5
- +$4.7kat 0.538Spread: Chiefs (-14.5)
- +$4.0kat 0.565Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)
- +$3.4kat 0.568Spread: Chiefs (-16.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 20:10 | FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.19 | $380.00 |
| 10-21 16:13 | Spread: Clippers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.41 | $906.10 |
| 10-21 15:34 | Spread: Rockets (-11.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $393.80 |
| 10-21 14:56 | Spread: Wizards (-3.5) | BUY | 0.45 | $828.00 |
| 10-21 14:40 | Spread: Clippers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $1.2k |
| 10-21 02:41 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.8 | $7.9k |
| 10-21 01:55 | Wild vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.54 | $1.8k |
| 10-21 01:54 | Wild vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.54 | $1.5k |
| 10-21 01:53 | Wild vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.54 | $2.4k |
| 10-21 01:51 | Wild vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.55 | $4.4k |
| 10-21 01:16 | Kings vs. Capitals | BUY | 0.79 | $4.1k |
| 10-21 01:11 | 76ers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.3468769566 | $465.38 |
| 10-20 20:18 | Spread: Celtics (-10.5) | BUY | 0.46 | $5.7k |
| 10-20 18:02 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? | SELL | 0.59 | $123.90 |
| 10-20 17:58 | Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) | SELL | 0.37 | $1.4k |