perf-2
0xe8472a0b75828bd32ef37e8b113063f991cddad6
- Realised P&L
- $-280.84
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $179.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)13.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.679 | 0.545 | $103.17 | −$25.35 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.397 | $76.36 | +$62.99 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.183 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.20 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.224 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.71 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.397 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$67.83 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.08 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.499 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$79.38 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.18at 0.517Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$44.03at 0.706Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
- +$-0.16at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
- +$-0.17at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
- +$-0.17at 0.071Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 21:00 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6789434419 | $128.52 |
| 10-13 21:00 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.0694234272 | $13.37 |
| 10-13 01:48 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.6958576541 | $104.37 |
| 10-13 01:48 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1695643427 | $24.08 |
| 10-13 01:42 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.3651254941 | $58.19 |
| 10-13 01:42 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.3862634357 | $61.56 |
| 10-09 01:21 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.3970498709 | $67.83 |
| 10-09 01:21 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.1833769279 | $59.20 |
| 10-09 01:05 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.1754593971 | $57.80 |
| 10-09 01:05 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.1768001802 | $58.24 |
| 09-21 15:49 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.38 |
| 09-21 15:49 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.44 |
| 09-13 07:16 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.066 | $1.39 |
| 09-13 07:16 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0679999992 | $1.43 |
| 09-11 17:47 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.0027272727 | $1.00 |