vpor
0xe8465f10b7b689deb4d6127e4a62d2eb39e0317f
- Realised P&L
- $-0.73
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $0.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.48 | −$0.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.99at 0.001Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21 + D66?
- +$0.03at 0.001Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?
- +$-0.01at 0.999Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
- +$-0.01at 0.999Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 5?
- +$-0.05at 0.001Will Pia Olsen Dyhr be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 22:16 | Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.56 |
| 07-19 12:42 | Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.40 |
| 06-04 18:38 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 5? | SELL | 0.998 | $6.99 |
| 06-04 18:37 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.99 |
| 05-02 21:56 | Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 05-02 21:56 | Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 04-04 10:48 | Will Pia Olsen Dyhr be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 03-04 19:22 | Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 02-13 19:51 | Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21 + D66? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 01-03 17:00 | Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 12-26 01:51 | Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.71 |