PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

yinian500W

0xe83d6af3103080e5c7765df47c4e045e9dc9238e

Realised P&L
$-243.81
Volume
$40.9k
Markets traded
102
Open portfolio
$109.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded102
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? · Yes0.9100.730$109.50$27.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 00:20Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?BUY0.92$138.00
09-17 23:22Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?BUY0.95$142.50
09-17 23:07Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?BUY0.9244072206$34.82
09-17 23:00Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?BUY0.08626983$9.69
09-17 21:31Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026BUY0.96$144.00
09-17 20:31Will NetNet be the first to hit a $1B FDV?BUY0.989$49.45
09-17 20:31Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?BUY0.092$4.60
09-17 20:25Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?BUY0.118817$11.88
09-17 19:59Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.972$145.80
09-17 19:57Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?SELL0.95$5.49
09-17 19:56Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?BUY0.964$5.57
09-17 19:56Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?SELL0.036$0.21
09-17 19:56Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?BUY0.9627$96.27
09-17 19:28Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?BUY0.1$15.00
09-17 19:24Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1016533333$15.25