gilfoyle.feliks
0xe83bdcdf218fe3aa6638974ed357a3b7fc464e18
- Realised P&L
- $-178.19
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $20.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo · Indiana Fever | 0.890 | 0.885 | $9.95 | −$0.06 |
| Portland Fire vs. Golden State Valkyries · Golden State Valkyries | 0.870 | 0.865 | $9.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · No | 0.304 | 0.225 | $0.40 | −$0.14 |
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.065 | $0.33 | −$0.93 |
| Will Como finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season? · No | 0.418 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.25at 0.389XRP Up or Down - March 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
- +$12.28at 0.442Solana Up or Down - March 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
- +$11.85at 0.471Solana Up or Down - March 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
- +$10.84at 0.420Solana Up or Down - March 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
- +$9.92at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:13 | Portland Fire vs. Golden State Valkyries | BUY | 0.8699999904 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 09:11 | Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo | SELL | 0.88 | $9.88 |
| 09-18 09:10 | Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 09:10 | Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 08:18 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 09-08 08:17 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-08 08:17 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-08 08:17 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.4059665871 | $3.40 |
| 09-08 08:17 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $1.93 |
| 09-08 08:16 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.19 |
| 09-08 08:16 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $3.90 |
| 09-08 08:15 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $3.57 |
| 04-21 18:30 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 04-21 13:22 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 04-21 13:22 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |