Not.a
0xe838e3f8af935e9cde83c61052a9d65559f6cba0
- Realised P&L
- $-681.95
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 227
- Open portfolio
- $121.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded227
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.550 | 0.735 | $73.50 | +$18.50 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.560 | 0.455 | $45.50 | −$10.50 |
| Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.540 | $2.25 | +$0.08 |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.50 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? · No | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.50 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? · No | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.00 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals · San Diego Padres | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.06 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels · Los Angeles Angels | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins · Chicago White Sox | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies · San Diego Padres | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.80at 0.152Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$40.35at 0.552Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
- +$35.00at 0.300Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- +$33.50at 0.330Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
- +$30.50at 0.390Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 16:29 | Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.56 | $56.00 |
| 07-06 02:56 | Will England win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.76 | $76.00 |
| 07-06 02:54 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.008 | $15.20 |
| 06-17 06:02 | Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.87 | $87.00 |
| 06-17 06:01 | Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.84 | $84.00 |
| 06-16 20:33 | Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.45 | $22.50 |
| 06-16 20:32 | Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.48 | $24.00 |
| 06-16 20:31 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | SELL | 0.19 | $9.50 |
| 06-16 20:22 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | SELL | 0.31 | $15.50 |
| 06-16 20:05 | Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.59 | $29.50 |
| 06-15 20:55 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | SELL | 0.45 | $22.50 |
| 06-15 18:03 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | SELL | 0.33 | $16.50 |
| 06-15 16:52 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | SELL | 0.21 | $5.14 |
| 06-14 20:33 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.56 | $28.00 |
| 06-14 20:33 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | SELL | 0.44 | $22.00 |