Pnpnpnpn
0xe83816997c000207fbea6a8924c0d64fe5ec92fb
- Realised P&L
- $-48.1k
- Volume
- $820.7k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $167.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.8kat 0.269Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$5.6kat 0.518Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$4.3kat 0.190Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$3.3kat 0.359Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$2.5kat 0.750Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 20:22 | GTA VI released by October 31? | BUY | 0.0375020773 | $100.00 |
| 07-16 07:01 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0599999989 | $50.00 |
| 07-16 07:00 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0299999997 | $100.00 |
| 07-16 07:00 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2699999999 | $1000.00 |
| 07-14 13:44 | Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $510.00 |
| 07-11 12:04 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4299999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-10 19:42 | Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3821581146 | $250.00 |
| 07-07 21:34 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.3851278246 | $500.00 |
| 07-07 21:32 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1749999999 | $1000.00 |
| 07-07 16:08 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.5885988405 | $200.00 |
| 07-07 16:08 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.5892516501 | $500.00 |
| 07-07 16:08 | Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $499.99 |
| 07-06 09:30 | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.3581817255 | $250.00 |
| 07-05 21:46 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.6599999989 | $200.00 |
| 07-05 20:06 | Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3699999992 | $200.00 |