okegas-okegas
0xe8369cb2a769f8388e6eddb522e0bd0577958e7e
- Realised P&L
- $-693.15
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $95.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.055 | $95.04 | −$113.22 |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) · Australia | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.00 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$72.37 |
| Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 1 Korea Republic? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.24 |
| Spread: France (-1.5) · Norway | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Exact Score: Senegal 1 - 2 Iraq? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: Senegal (-3.5) · Iraq | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$135.63 |
| Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance · Portugal | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$390.05at 0.605Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$107.52at 0.738Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)
- +$92.59at 0.355Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5
- +$56.45at 0.641Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 5.5
- +$48.57at 0.174Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 13:41 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0899999667 | $2.24 |
| 07-19 13:13 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5924999999 | $584.44 |
| 07-07 16:23 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.2299999982 | $72.37 |
| 07-06 13:59 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.7399999997 | $55.00 |
| 07-06 13:57 | Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.3899999967 | $30.00 |
| 07-06 13:56 | Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999904 | $20.00 |
| 07-06 13:44 | Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.339999993 | $30.00 |
| 07-06 13:43 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3399999967 | $60.00 |
| 07-05 16:05 | Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.93 | $157.00 |
| 07-04 15:36 | Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.9199999997 | $144.83 |
| 07-04 00:23 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3119999933 | $30.00 |
| 07-03 16:29 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.3482697915 | $50.00 |
| 07-03 16:29 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.666744947 | $50.00 |
| 07-03 00:18 | Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals | SELL | 0.030624 | $19.14 |
| 07-02 16:03 | Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.16 | $100.00 |