amused267
0xe8312a9a5ac2181317901e401e5b370b85d9a42a
- Realised P&L
- $6.8k
- Volume
- $988.5k
- Markets traded
- 590
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded590
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.4kat 0.562Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-16?
- +$4.5kat 0.160Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
- +$4.2kat 0.140Will Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?
- +$3.4kat 0.538Clippers vs. Timberwolves
- +$3.3kat 0.519LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 11:22 | Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.66 | $197.99 |
| 10-04 11:08 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.41 | $221.40 |
| 10-04 11:06 | Will Israel win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.73 | $273.17 |
| 10-04 11:02 | Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.9k |
| 09-06 12:00 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.44 | $349.80 |
| 09-04 18:47 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? | BUY | 0.34 | $102.00 |
| 08-16 20:57 | Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-08-16? | BUY | 0.79 | $126.40 |
| 08-16 13:58 | Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29 | $189.95 |
| 08-15 14:26 | Will FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc vs. Sepsi OSK end in a draw? | BUY | 0.31 | $89.90 |
| 08-15 12:51 | Will Sepsi OSK win on 2026-08-15? | BUY | 0.36 | $104.04 |
| 08-12 18:04 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12? | BUY | 0.59 | $100.30 |
| 08-08 15:37 | Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. Willem II Tilburg end in a draw? | SELL | 0.2147492401 | $22.61 |
| 08-08 15:37 | Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-08-08? | SELL | 0.62 | $29.08 |
| 08-08 12:24 | Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. Willem II Tilburg end in a draw? | BUY | 0.22 | $16.94 |
| 08-08 12:24 | Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.61 | $28.61 |