krishan2026
0xe82efa01f46c5474d20d60cc10ee60e2c628e3b0
- Realised P&L
- $-0.16
- Volume
- $175.53
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $2.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $2,500 by end of December? · No | 0.980 | 0.966 | $2.26 | −$0.03 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on September 28? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.014 | $0.56 | +$0.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.05at 0.986Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?
- +$0.04at 0.950Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$0.03at 0.969Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?
- +$0.02at 0.988Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
- +$0.02at 0.994Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 12:02 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 28? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 09-28 11:49 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.985 | $2.96 |
| 09-27 13:16 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.996 | $3.00 |
| 09-07 09:25 | Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $2,500 by end of December? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.29 |
| 06-25 10:13 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.01 |
| 06-25 10:13 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.51 |
| 06-25 10:13 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.02 |
| 05-10 17:41 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June? | SELL | 0.982 | $2.75 |
| 04-29 09:56 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June? | BUY | 0.9869992203 | $1.00 |
| 04-14 13:29 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June? | BUY | 0.9889998383 | $2.00 |
| 04-08 14:25 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? | BUY | 0.986 | $1.48 |
| 03-20 16:17 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of March? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.86 |
| 03-14 15:16 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of March? | SELL | 0.996 | $2.71 |
| 03-11 14:13 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | SELL | 0.995 | $3.23 |
| 03-09 16:21 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of March? | BUY | 0.9949999224 | $2.50 |