nbaenjoymf
0xe82cb6ae57e52d815d3abbd8984f052a79258df9
- Realised P&L
- $7.54
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $249.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? · No | 0.954 | 0.979 | $57.42 | +$1.44 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.964 | 0.975 | $57.09 | +$0.64 |
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No | 0.946 | 0.943 | $55.67 | −$0.18 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.990 | 0.998 | $49.88 | +$0.38 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.930 | 0.598 | $29.88 | −$16.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.45at 0.971US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
- +$1.35at 0.950US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.20at 0.975Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
- +$0.60at 0.984Will Maurício Ruffy fight Charles Oliveira next?
- +$0.50at 0.970Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 06:06 | Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.985 | $19.70 |