thx4playing
0xe8278d22bef444ede84505b7c0ec4e4001305209
- Realised P&L
- $9.8k
- Volume
- $4.26M
- Markets traded
- 2,873
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,873
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.9kat 0.478Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
- +$3.7kat 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
- +$3.2kat 0.343Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
- +$3.1kat 0.154Will the government shutdown end November 13?
- +$2.5kat 0.673Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $825.17 |
| 09-16 18:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.06 |
| 09-08 21:56 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $160.00 |
| 09-08 21:56 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.85 | $425.00 |
| 08-28 17:28 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.987 | $319.59 |
| 08-25 20:04 | Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in Rocket League? | BUY | 0.98 | $784.00 |
| 08-25 19:57 | Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in Rocket League? | BUY | 0.8456717923 | $67.10 |
| 08-25 19:49 | Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in Rocket League? | BUY | 0.42 | $21.00 |
| 08-25 19:48 | Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in Rocket League? | BUY | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 08-21 21:06 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.209 | $153.67 |
| 08-21 00:30 | Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $46.35 |
| 08-21 00:29 | Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.499 | $16.47 |
| 08-20 23:21 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.359988331 | $308.50 |
| 08-20 20:48 | Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.42 | $840.00 |
| 08-20 20:15 | Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 6 hours? | BUY | 0.84 | $25.20 |