PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

markcuriouscryptos

0xe81c7801247dc1239f59ad65e5f069a7c5a59bec

Realised P&L
$-311.09
Volume
$10.0k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$32.11

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration88.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4770.310$26.02−$13.98
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.034$6.09−$13.91
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? · No0.0360.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00−$10.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$75.00
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? · Yes0.4630.000$0.00−$64.88
Starmer out in 2025? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00−$132.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 21:11Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.476627856$40.00
09-21 21:11Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0583623692$10.00
07-04 13:30Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999956$20.00
06-11 15:17SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?BUY0.0359999997$100.00
06-11 15:16SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?BUY0.0356260573$100.00
06-10 07:09Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?BUY0.15$75.00
06-10 07:07Starmer out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.24$79.54
05-30 10:46Starmer out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.31$70.37
05-19 12:54Starmer out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$100.00
05-17 10:09Starmer out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1262503592$20.00
05-17 09:53Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.68$369.72
05-12 08:44Starmer out by May 15, 2026?BUY0.4628675853$64.88
02-08 05:21Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.4199999977$66.16
09-18 10:16Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.355405136$137.25
09-18 10:14Starmer out in 2025?BUY0.1294323401$66.26