0xe8150b1d028f5dc0a6a231105904eb4df8c42060
0xe8150b1d028f5dc0a6a231105904eb4df8c42060
- Realised P&L
- $-64.68
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $100.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.055 | $100.57 | −$539.43 |
| Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.13at 0.402Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 21.5
- +$13.54at 0.071Will Uber say "Grocery" during earnings call?
- +$7.45at 0.555Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5
- +$2.15at 0.928Will AS Port win on 2026-09-04?
- +$1.31at 0.939Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 01:19 | Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5 | SELL | 0.964 | $17.84 |
| 10-05 23:33 | Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5 | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 23:02 | Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5 | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 05:43 | San Jose State vs. Hawai'i | BUY | 0.8399999944 | $6.00 |
| 10-02 07:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.9299999716 | $20.00 |
| 10-02 03:46 | North Texas vs. Tulsa | BUY | 0.8099999838 | $4.00 |
| 09-30 03:02 | Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.85 | $6.00 |
| 09-04 02:14 | Will AS Port win on 2026-09-04? | BUY | 0.9202223402 | $27.73 |
| 08-16 12:59 | 1st 5 Innings Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 07:59 | 1st 5 Innings Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3099999934 | $19.36 |
| 08-14 09:08 | ITF M15 Trier Men: Maxime Chazal vs Michael Agwi | BUY | 0.4030898848 | $49.00 |
| 08-14 08:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | SELL | 0.43 | $1.10 |
| 08-14 04:31 | Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 21.5 | BUY | 0.3878596325 | $29.90 |
| 08-13 03:42 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.77 | $1.37 |
| 08-10 23:46 | Ezi Magbegor: Points O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.3632219001 | $26.82 |