PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

thalaivaa

0xe8110bc5b047a863dc014594aaf33d063e763fce

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$132.3k
Markets traded
171
Open portfolio
$502.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded171
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0720.165$158.91+$88.92
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5300.495$93.40$6.60
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · Yes0.2540.230$90.50$9.50
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1330.100$52.75$17.25
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0780.035$45.31$54.69
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? · Yes0.4850.395$40.75$9.25
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4600.105$11.41$38.59
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.009$9.44$0.55
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00$20.00
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$10.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2420.000$0.00$50.00
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs0.6000.000$0.00$100.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4370.000$0.00$50.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$50.00
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs Canada (Game 1) · Canada0.2680.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 16:36Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?BUY0.4847005672$50.00
09-17 16:31Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.529999998$100.00
09-16 15:14Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.5999999994$200.00
09-13 14:44Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.5999999988$100.00
08-19 12:40Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?BUY0.2541410312$100.00
08-05 01:48US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.6324110672$100.00
08-05 01:44Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.16$64.00
07-31 03:36Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.449999998$100.00
07-31 03:31Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.25$100.00
07-21 01:45Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.004$14.45
07-19 13:42Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?BUY0.3699999926$30.00
07-19 13:40Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?SELL0.82$143.85
07-18 11:21Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?SELL0.008$5.15
07-18 11:21Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?SELL0.177$14.09
07-18 11:20Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?SELL0.0405159998$30.24