MarketAcct
0xe8107bb9e09ac933ed93b833eb68ad8c50b88fc5
- Realised P&L
- $-17.3k
- Volume
- $462.8k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $334.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.033 | $203.13 | −$796.88 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.018 | $131.25 | −$393.75 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$219.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.768Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$4.9kat 0.803Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$2.7kat 0.341Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$731.07at 0.269Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11AM ET
- +$530.24at 0.153No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 19:17 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.051 | $122.40 |
| 10-10 04:30 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.889 | $0.27 |
| 10-10 04:30 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.889 | $3.4k |
| 09-29 15:21 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.5988068533 | $449.11 |
| 09-26 01:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.5716394914 | $655.46 |
| 09-25 17:18 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.562 | $421.50 |
| 09-21 23:30 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.602 | $297.99 |
| 09-19 03:00 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.567 | $445.09 |
| 09-11 00:13 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.511 | $38.33 |
| 09-03 22:34 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.439 | $346.37 |
| 08-04 01:58 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.2653587 | $212.29 |
| 08-03 16:35 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.2518866667 | $113.35 |
| 08-03 05:14 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.247 | $9.39 |
| 08-02 23:11 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.248 | $14.38 |
| 07-23 15:39 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.238 | $333.20 |