PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MarketAcct

0xe8107bb9e09ac933ed93b833eb68ad8c50b88fc5

Realised P&L
$-17.3k
Volume
$462.8k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$334.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.033$203.13−$796.88
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.018$131.25−$393.75
Trump out as President by April 30? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$219.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 19:17Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.051$122.40
10-10 04:30Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.889$0.27
10-10 04:30Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.889$3.4k
09-29 15:21Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.5988068533$449.11
09-26 01:06Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.5716394914$655.46
09-25 17:18Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.562$421.50
09-21 23:30Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.602$297.99
09-19 03:00Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.567$445.09
09-11 00:13Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.511$38.33
09-03 22:34Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.439$346.37
08-04 01:58Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.2653587$212.29
08-03 16:35Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.2518866667$113.35
08-03 05:14Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.247$9.39
08-02 23:11Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.248$14.38
07-23 15:39Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.238$333.20