leonard53
0xe80e887637b13b6a6d0453bcb8b17de9a09e4fcd
- Realised P&L
- $33.77
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $19.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.475 | $19.02 | −$5.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.10at 0.560Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
- +$0.21at 0.989Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?
- +$0.16at 0.986Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April?
- +$0.11at 0.985Will the SPD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?
- +$0.09at 0.994Will the Liberals win the most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:41 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January? | BUY | 0.998999947 | $8.54 |
| 01-30 14:46 | Will Opendoor dip to $2.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.62 |
| 01-30 14:44 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.63 |
| 01-30 14:24 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $13.92 |
| 01-30 13:28 | Will Solana dip to $70 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $44.64 |
| 12-30 09:49 | Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.92 |
| 12-30 01:13 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $9.23 |
| 12-30 01:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999795 | $14.15 |
| 12-30 00:19 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999837 | $28.08 |
| 12-29 21:40 | Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $25.72 |
| 10-30 19:55 | Will XRP reach $3.40 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.39 |
| 10-30 18:18 | Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.17 |
| 09-29 10:44 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.92 |
| 09-29 05:21 | Xi Jinping out before October? | BUY | 0.9989999975 | $17.94 |
| 09-29 02:16 | Will XRP reach $5.00 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.04 |