PolyBot

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Traders

Mdnght43Fox

0xe8043a1a763cfab95e57af25b3309d1586fb2c4a

Realised P&L
$0.91
Volume
$142.6k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$3.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)79.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30? · No0.9970.967$3.10$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 12:46Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30?BUY0.9969999997$3.20
08-06 13:00Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?BUY0.96$4.22
07-27 00:56Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9929997809$2.28
06-05 06:50Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?BUY0.974999799$3.76
06-05 06:50Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the June meeting?SELL0.997$2.11
05-12 07:24Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the June meeting?BUY0.98$2.08
04-05 04:06Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of April 6 above $285?BUY0.99$4.16
03-16 11:21Starmer out by March 31, 2026?BUY0.9739999601$4.05
02-09 00:51Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?BUY0.9609999985$3.89
01-30 06:47Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?BUY0.9969999995$3.88
01-11 13:29Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on January 12?BUY0.999$3.88
12-17 07:51Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?BUY0.9589998966$3.72
12-10 15:29Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 13?BUY0.9889999997$3.68
12-10 15:28Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–45.9% on December 31?SELL0.969$3.68
11-21 11:05Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–45.9% on December 31?BUY0.9880000011$3.76