PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

icebergC

0xe7fa127c9192379b6625a569a872cf277e326923

Realised P&L
$-139.51
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$1.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.0500.089$1.78+$0.78
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 15? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$20.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 20? · No0.0400.000$0.00$2.80
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 9-15? · No0.0150.000$0.00$6.08
XRP Up or Down - December 15, 9PM ET · Up0.1840.000$0.00$45.90
No airdrop in 2025? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$28.00
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$13.00
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? · No0.0700.000$0.00$28.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 20? · No0.1000.000$0.00$8.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 17? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$1.60
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 20? · No0.0400.000$0.00$2.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
12-16 04:42XRP Up or Down - December 15, 11PM ETBUY0.05$1.00
12-16 03:20XRP Up or Down - December 15, 10PM ETBUY0.2333333333$7.00
12-16 02:07XRP Up or Down - December 15, 9PM ETBUY0.329$32.90
12-15 08:34XRP Up or Down - December 15, 3AM ETSELL0.72$0.72
12-15 08:21XRP Up or Down - December 15, 3AM ETBUY0.32$6.40
12-15 08:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 15?BUY0.4299999961$20.00
12-15 08:04Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 9-15?BUY0.0157816452$5.00
12-15 07:57Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 9-15?BUY0.012$0.08
12-15 05:06No airdrop in 2025?BUY0.08$20.00
12-15 05:01Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? BUY0.07$14.00
12-15 05:01Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? BUY0.07$14.00
12-15 05:00Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?BUY0.65$13.00
12-15 04:59No airdrop in 2025?BUY0.08$8.00