icebergC
0xe7fa127c9192379b6625a569a872cf277e326923
- Realised P&L
- $-139.51
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $1.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.089 | $1.78 | +$0.78 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 15? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 20? · No | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.80 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 9-15? · No | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.08 |
| XRP Up or Down - December 15, 9PM ET · Up | 0.184 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.90 |
| No airdrop in 2025? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.00 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? · No | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 20? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 17? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 20? · No | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.20at 0.050XRP Up or Down - December 15, 11PM ET
- +$6.10at 0.390XRP Up or Down - December 15, 3AM ET
- +$4.70at 0.233XRP Up or Down - December 15, 10PM ET
- +$2.50at 0.750XRP Up or Down - December 16, 3AM ET
- +$-2.30at 0.230XRP Up or Down - December 16, 3AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-16 04:42 | XRP Up or Down - December 15, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 12-16 03:20 | XRP Up or Down - December 15, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.2333333333 | $7.00 |
| 12-16 02:07 | XRP Up or Down - December 15, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.329 | $32.90 |
| 12-15 08:34 | XRP Up or Down - December 15, 3AM ET | SELL | 0.72 | $0.72 |
| 12-15 08:21 | XRP Up or Down - December 15, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 12-15 08:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 15? | BUY | 0.4299999961 | $20.00 |
| 12-15 08:04 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 9-15? | BUY | 0.0157816452 | $5.00 |
| 12-15 07:57 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 9-15? | BUY | 0.012 | $0.08 |
| 12-15 05:06 | No airdrop in 2025? | BUY | 0.08 | $20.00 |
| 12-15 05:01 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $14.00 |
| 12-15 05:01 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $14.00 |
| 12-15 05:00 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 12-15 04:59 | No airdrop in 2025? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |