Bellerophonb
0xe7f00380e96676c90b6a82607a34ee7e926d7a17
- Realised P&L
- $6.2k
- Volume
- $20.2k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $9.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar30.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will James Comer be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor? · No | 0.280 | 0.195 | $2.73 | −$1.19 |
| Will the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.280 | 0.235 | $2.52 | −$0.48 |
| Will Javier Calvo be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? · No | 0.160 | 0.125 | $2.50 | −$0.70 |
| Will Christopher Nolan be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? · No | 0.038 | 0.036 | $1.80 | −$0.10 |
| Spread: Rockets (-14.5) · Rockets | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.9k |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons · Pistons | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 · Over | 0.506 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.0kat 0.500Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
- +$62.44at 0.677Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5
- +$30.94at 0.458Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$6.98at 0.371Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
- +$5.34at 0.487Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 03:50 | Will Javier Calvo be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.24 |
| 10-19 03:50 | Will Christopher Nolan be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.038 | $0.21 |
| 10-19 03:48 | Will James Comer be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.52 |
| 10-19 03:39 | Will the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999925 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 20:06 | Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $4.00 |
| 07-14 07:11 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999957 | $9.90 |
| 07-14 07:11 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999069 | $8.83 |
| 07-14 07:11 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $11.00 |
| 07-14 07:10 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7529999982 | $9.85 |
| 06-12 11:05 | Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 | BUY | 0.5057850865 | $6.00 |
| 06-12 11:04 | Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 10:27 | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 10:25 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.529999992 | $6.00 |
| 05-26 17:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.8099999931 | $20.00 |
| 05-25 20:15 | Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5 | BUY | 0.6699999987 | $129.38 |