0xe7e98d511e3b780fe692324288f50bf29fd5b434
- Realised P&L
- $177.47
- Volume
- $21.6k
- Markets traded
- 418
- Open portfolio
- $268.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded418
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.29at 0.224Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
- +$56.77at 0.205Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
- +$47.25at 0.392Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$46.15at 0.078Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$45.66at 0.216Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Metizport (+1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:58 | Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | SELL | 0.68 | $0.99 |
| 09-17 14:27 | Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | SELL | 0.71 | $0.09 |
| 09-17 11:41 | Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0158637141 | $2.04 |
| 09-16 19:03 | Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $14.73 |
| 09-16 13:21 | Will Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.901 | $9.99 |
| 09-16 13:20 | Will Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 09-16 10:34 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.91 | $38.31 |
| 09-16 10:23 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $31.74 |
| 09-14 21:36 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 17:13 | Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.22 |
| 09-14 14:46 | US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.26 |
| 09-14 14:46 | Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.97 |
| 09-14 14:45 | Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election? | SELL | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 09-14 11:57 | Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.11 |
| 09-14 07:29 | Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.12 |