PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kiara30

0xe7e9745db813e89de1a98ffbe2d7683aab1d36b1

Realised P&L
$-3.62
Volume
$12.1k
Markets traded
78
Open portfolio
$39.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded78
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September? · No0.7600.830$25.57+$2.16
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September? · No0.6500.615$13.99$0.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 14:48Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.9849999996$12.63
01-30 14:23Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January?BUY0.995$16.89
01-30 14:18Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?BUY0.9979999667$23.26
01-30 13:18Will Chainlink hit $21 in January?BUY0.999$28.31
12-30 11:11Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025?BUY0.999$17.99
12-29 22:20Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.9959999854$22.39
12-29 22:13Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.9959999925$18.48
12-29 21:08Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9969999865$21.57
10-30 19:57Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$24.54
10-30 19:19Will XRP reach $3.50 in October?BUY0.999$20.83
09-29 11:24Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in September?BUY0.9989999786$10.76
09-29 10:24TikTok removed from App Store by September 30?BUY0.999$10.30
09-29 04:11Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$10.82
09-29 01:30Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?BUY0.969$19.51
09-28 22:28Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$14.14