pomercier
0xe7e43f9946ef58e1a9995c1f508c2677eb429175
- Realised P&L
- $-36.40
- Volume
- $642.76
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $7.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the PCQ win 14-16 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.230 | $6.47 | −$2.81 |
| Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.065 | $0.76 | −$6.53 |
| Will US Cremonese win on 2025-10-20? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-10-19? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Mariners vs. Blue Jays · Mariners | 0.797 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.55 |
| Patriots vs. Titans · Titans | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Rangers vs. Canadiens · Canadiens | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 20? · No | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Giants vs. Broncos · Giants | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.08at 0.699Sabres vs. Canadiens
- +$1.92at 0.884Falcons vs. 49ers
- +$1.70at 0.360Taylor Swift on top two spots of Billboard Hot 100 for Oct 25th?
- +$1.36at 0.892Mariners vs. Blue Jays
- +$1.27at 0.605Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-10-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 00:38 | Will the PCQ win 11-13 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | SELL | 0.015469223 | $0.61 |
| 10-01 01:13 | Will the PCQ win 14-16 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.3299999897 | $9.28 |
| 10-01 01:12 | Will the PCQ win 11-13 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.252226377 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 21:39 | Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority? | BUY | 0.6199999745 | $7.29 |
| 10-29 23:24 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.10 |
| 10-21 02:23 | Mariners vs. Blue Jays | BUY | 0.7599999727 | $2.23 |
| 10-21 02:22 | Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | SELL | 0.69 | $2.23 |
| 10-21 01:48 | Sabres vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.8699999937 | $6.92 |
| 10-21 01:21 | Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in October? | SELL | 0.93 | $6.92 |
| 10-21 00:52 | Sabres vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.5699999772 | $7.25 |
| 10-21 00:42 | Kraken vs. Flyers | SELL | 0.96 | $17.33 |
| 10-20 21:16 | Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election? | SELL | 0.976 | $12.89 |
| 10-20 19:00 | Will US Cremonese win on 2025-10-20? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 18:33 | Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.89 | $1.01 |
| 10-20 18:31 | Taylor Swift on top two spots of Billboard Hot 100 for Oct 25th? | SELL | 0.973 | $2.70 |