unvarying3305
0xe7e12dab316ce33b80c34309b5f67a2b0286e385
- Realised P&L
- $-2.41
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $40.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.405 | $40.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? · No | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.18at 0.070Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$0.30at 0.030Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$0.19at 0.910US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
- +$-0.06at 0.978Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$-0.11at 0.841Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 08:27 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.077 | $19.21 |
| 09-09 08:27 | Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.973 | $9.48 |
| 09-09 08:27 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.759 | $0.92 |
| 07-16 16:17 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.12 | $13.42 |
| 06-05 16:46 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.82 |
| 06-05 16:19 | Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.977 | $9.52 |
| 06-05 15:36 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.077 | $11.77 |
| 06-05 15:14 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.067 | $7.49 |
| 06-04 20:30 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0324327524 | $9.29 |
| 06-03 11:57 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.079 | $7.63 |
| 06-03 11:45 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.029 | $8.30 |
| 06-03 10:35 | Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? | BUY | 0.67 | $7.31 |
| 06-03 08:43 | Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? | BUY | 0.67 | $1.37 |
| 06-03 08:38 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.93 |
| 06-03 08:38 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.836 | $1.01 |