tvb1
0xe7c7765c47996b7e30e71bd96e650bf2101d65f0
- Realised P&L
- $45.30
- Volume
- $9.9k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $269.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 9? · No | 0.997 | 0.995 | $169.66 | −$0.34 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 9? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $99.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 2? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? · No | 0.812 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.85 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 29? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.29 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 31? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$138.60 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 30? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.03at 0.460Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 29?
- +$39.90at 0.600Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?
- +$39.15at 0.720Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 30?
- +$17.00at 0.320Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 2?
- +$15.24at 0.774Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 05:55 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 05:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.997 | $170.00 |
| 10-06 16:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.9869999999 | $50.00 |
| 10-06 16:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.986 | $9.86 |
| 10-06 16:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.986 | $9.86 |
| 10-06 16:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.988 | $197.60 |
| 10-05 14:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $250.00 |
| 10-05 14:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $57.09 |
| 02-10 17:34 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 01-26 12:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 29? | BUY | 0.26 | $10.40 |
| 01-24 12:16 | Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million? | BUY | 0.9329999985 | $38.44 |
| 01-23 10:21 | Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of January 19 above $245? | BUY | 0.9019999974 | $15.69 |
| 01-23 10:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 25? | BUY | 0.7599999954 | $20.00 |
| 01-22 14:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 22? | BUY | 0.9329999992 | $33.30 |
| 01-22 14:02 | Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1? | SELL | 0.333024 | $33.30 |