Dorsey
0xe7b95c9facef3b22a203e1d637fcbc7f5b2f18d7
- Realised P&L
- $9.63
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $34.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $34.98 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.97at 0.900Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
- +$1.92at 0.976Will Biden pardon Ross Ulbricht?
- +$1.22at 0.972Biden drops out by July 4?
- +$0.75at 0.974TikTok sale announced by September 30?
- +$0.73at 0.985Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 18–25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 01:55 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.97 |
| 08-27 09:24 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 24 – Aug 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.95 |
| 07-08 02:56 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July? | BUY | 0.995 | $35.82 |
| 06-27 09:18 | Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.99 |
| 06-15 08:44 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 06-01 07:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June? | BUY | 0.994 | $57.65 |
| 05-14 03:28 | Will MrBeast hit 488 million subscribers by June 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $181.64 |
| 04-06 06:42 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $170.99 |
| 04-06 06:40 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.9929999911 | $47.97 |
| 03-16 08:03 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $65.23 |
| 02-24 14:04 | Will Google dip to $225 in February? | BUY | 0.997 | $54.54 |
| 02-09 06:48 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $88.81 |
| 01-20 02:11 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.997 | $98.88 |
| 12-06 16:00 | Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.85 |
| 11-05 09:40 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $58.79 |