0xe7998b7953431396995c9c910dae04a28147b151
0xe7998b7953431396995c9c910dae04a28147b151
- Realised P&L
- $3.55
- Volume
- $108.16
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $0.98
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.245 | $0.98 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.00at 0.250Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during the May meeting?
- +$1.18at 0.740Will Rutte say "Trump" during NATO Public Forum Address on June 24?
- +$0.96at 0.510Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during the May meeting?
- +$0.77at 0.570India military action against Pakistan before June?
- +$0.72at 0.580Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 17:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | SELL | 0.56 | $1.04 |
| 09-07 17:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 17:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 16:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.02 |
| 09-07 16:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 06:29 | US military action against Iran by Saturday? | BUY | 0.9399999937 | $3.00 |
| 06-19 17:20 | Will Rutte say "Trump" during NATO Public Forum Address on June 24? | BUY | 0.739999989 | $1.35 |
| 06-19 17:19 | Will the Iranian regime fall before July? | BUY | 0.9349999579 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 17:17 | Will Rutte say "Trump" during NATO Public Forum Address on June 24? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 17:15 | Will Rutte say "Trump" during NATO Public Forum Address on June 24? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 17:08 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 17:05 | Iranian coup attempt before July? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 17:04 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BUY | 0.9649999952 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 17:03 | Trump blames Biden for Iran-Israel escalation by Friday? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 17:03 | US military action against Iran by Thursday? | BUY | 0.9569999904 | $2.00 |