PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MyChildBitcoin

0xe78a7f6a2e665211b5eaa1a9d13cc2b1a3179673

Realised P&L
$-177.58
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$14.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump Jr. post about $LAPTOP by September 30? · Yes0.1700.055$5.50$11.50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0310.040$3.95+$0.85
Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30? · Yes0.1000.033$3.30$6.70
Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30? · Yes0.2700.068$1.35$4.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 17:28Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.031$3.10
09-10 17:27Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?BUY0.27$5.40
01-10 16:35Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.29$8.70
01-10 16:35Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?BUY0.09$5.40
01-10 16:35Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.38$11.40
01-10 16:34Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.19$5.70
01-10 16:34Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?BUY0.14$8.40
01-10 16:33US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.26$10.40
05-30 06:09Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?BUY0.52$2.60
05-30 06:08Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?BUY0.27$2.70
05-30 06:08Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?BUY0.21$2.10
05-30 06:07Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.091$0.91
05-30 06:07Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.064$1.28
05-30 06:07Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.039$0.23
05-30 06:06Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.071$1.42