0xe7855f4f8968a1d068d51ac32585613cbb98983e
- Realised P&L
- $13.16
- Volume
- $45.39
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $12.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar29.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.200 | 1.000 | $10.00 | +$8.00 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.785 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.14at 0.190Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
- +$-1.00at 0.145Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
- +$-1.00at 0.230Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 04:16 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 07-09 18:26 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.1449998912 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 23:30 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 18:20 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.1899999304 | $1.91 |
| 05-02 20:31 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0869999272 | $1.00 |
| 04-25 20:57 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |