0xe78500a587280446febc1c19e56be529c7f9fbba
0xe78500a587280446febc1c19e56be529c7f9fbba
- Realised P&L
- $-672.38
- Volume
- $34.7k
- Markets traded
- 589
- Open portfolio
- $168.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded589
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.49at 0.364Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 24?
- +$44.38at 0.260Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 23?
- +$42.82at 0.312Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 24?
- +$40.88at 0.449Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 24?
- +$40.34at 0.327Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 00:52 | Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by December 31? | BUY | 0.1875 | $3.75 |
| 10-30 05:51 | Will Sønderjyske be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.10 |
| 10-29 12:20 | Will Democrats win the Ohio and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 10-29 10:03 | Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m? | BUY | 0.1899999795 | $1.30 |
| 10-29 10:02 | Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 10-29 08:36 | Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7? | BUY | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 10-28 23:11 | Next Israeli government a minority government? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 10-28 23:10 | Next Israeli government a minority government? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 10-25 21:09 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 25? | SELL | 0.991 | $26.14 |
| 10-25 21:09 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 25? | SELL | 0.99 | $39.59 |
| 10-25 21:09 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 25? | SELL | 0.995 | $41.79 |
| 10-25 21:07 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 25? | SELL | 0.99 | $8.91 |
| 10-25 21:07 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 25? | SELL | 0.991 | $18.03 |
| 10-25 21:04 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 25? | SELL | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 10-25 20:56 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 25? | SELL | 0.992 | $7.02 |