PolyBot

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Traders

0xe78500a587280446febc1c19e56be529c7f9fbba

0xe78500a587280446febc1c19e56be529c7f9fbba

Realised P&L
$-672.38
Volume
$34.7k
Markets traded
589
Open portfolio
$168.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded589
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 35%-40%? · No0.8800.841$16.81−$0.79
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 0%-5%? · No0.7200.713$13.13−$0.14
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on November 30, 2026? · No0.5700.615$12.30+$0.90
Will Jim Jordan be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms? · No0.5800.555$11.10−$0.50
Will Quinshon Judkins have 899.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.7600.520$10.40−$4.80
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.00% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.475$9.50−$7.30
Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 26? · Yes0.5100.450$9.00−$1.20
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Jun 30? · Yes0.4900.450$9.00−$0.80
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 25%-30%? · Yes0.4000.405$8.10+$0.10
Will Bruno Retailleau receive the most signatures from elected officials in the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3900.400$8.00+$0.20
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.3000.390$7.80+$1.80
Will Ja'Marr Chase have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.3100.340$7.14+$0.63
Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by June 30, 2027? · No0.4300.350$7.00−$1.60
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026? · No0.4000.310$6.20−$1.80
Will Ahmed Aliyu win the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election? · No0.2900.295$5.90+$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 00:52Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by December 31?BUY0.1875$3.75
10-30 05:51Will Sønderjyske be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?BUY0.35$2.10
10-29 12:20Will Democrats win the Ohio and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.32$6.40
10-29 10:03Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?BUY0.1899999795$1.30
10-29 10:02Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?BUY0.19$1.90
10-29 08:36Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?BUY0.54$10.80
10-28 23:11Next Israeli government a minority government?BUY0.24$2.40
10-28 23:10Next Israeli government a minority government?BUY0.24$2.40
10-25 21:09Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 25?SELL0.991$26.14
10-25 21:09Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 25?SELL0.99$39.59
10-25 21:09Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 25?SELL0.995$41.79
10-25 21:07Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 25?SELL0.99$8.91
10-25 21:07Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 25?SELL0.991$18.03
10-25 21:04Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 25?SELL0.99$14.85
10-25 20:56Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 25?SELL0.992$7.02