reluctor
0xe77cf96fb47969f5bb9b7d3f52ab818cf25df2be
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $117.9k
- Markets traded
- 165
- Open portfolio
- $249.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded165
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.024 | $188.44 | −$44.97 |
| Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? · No | 0.160 | 0.045 | $56.25 | −$143.75 |
| Will NetNet be the first to hit a $1B FDV? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $4.83 | −$5.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$524.28at 0.144Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$246.84at 0.265Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?
- +$212.65at 0.894Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$192.95at 0.738Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$154.43at 0.766Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 10:29 | Will NetNet be the first to hit a $1B FDV? | BUY | 0.0010360393 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 07:30 | Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV? | BUY | 0.0366990389 | $119.23 |
| 09-25 14:51 | Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV? | BUY | 0.0266195146 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 08:16 | Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV? | BUY | 0.014 | $4.19 |
| 09-25 08:14 | Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV? | BUY | 0.014 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 08:13 | Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? | BUY | 0.16 | $200.00 |
| 09-25 08:13 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.2503061469 | $261.63 |
| 09-24 13:48 | Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.58 |
| 09-01 09:41 | Will Enzo Fernandez join Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.001767081 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 09:41 | Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid? | BUY | 0.001008404 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 13:53 | Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? | BUY | 0.0272217214 | $12.92 |
| 08-31 10:45 | Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 12:07 | Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? | BUY | 0.0387704404 | $36.72 |
| 08-28 11:52 | Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? | BUY | 0.0529253223 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 11:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.0141974412 | $6.51 |