reluctor
0xe77cf96fb47969f5bb9b7d3f52ab818cf25df2be
- Realised P&L
- $-942.46
- Volume
- $97.3k
- Markets traded
- 162
- Open portfolio
- $237.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded162
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes | 0.225 | 0.225 | $235.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.004 | $1.84 | −$10.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$524.28at 0.144Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$395.80at 0.010Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?
- +$370.02at 0.014Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?
- +$319.43at 0.015Will Yan Diomande join Paris Saint-Germain?
- +$246.84at 0.265Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 09:41 | Will Enzo Fernandez join Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.001767081 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 09:41 | Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid? | BUY | 0.001008404 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 13:53 | Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? | BUY | 0.0272217214 | $12.92 |
| 08-31 10:45 | Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 12:07 | Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? | BUY | 0.0387704404 | $36.72 |
| 08-28 11:52 | Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? | BUY | 0.0529253223 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 11:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.0141974412 | $6.51 |
| 08-28 11:02 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.0092208391 | $20.00 |
| 08-28 08:44 | Will Marcus Rashford join Aston Villa? | BUY | 0.0099099002 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 08:44 | Will Jack Grealish join Tottenham? | BUY | 0.0079825369 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 08:04 | Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid? | BUY | 0.001698736 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 08:04 | Will Enzo Fernandez join Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 08:03 | Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? | BUY | 0.0489748643 | $200.00 |
| 08-26 12:57 | Will Enzo Fernandez join Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.0016596707 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 12:17 | Will Jack Grealish join Nottingham Forest? | BUY | 0.0177430802 | $1.00 |