CoffeeAddict24423
0xe771b033705fc0648b633fe5961c9ce9c56a02d2
- Realised P&L
- $-9.64
- Volume
- $118.5k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $2.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli forces enter Tyre by September 30? · No | 0.990 | 0.977 | $2.84 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.29at 0.950Ukraine agrees to resume Russian natural gas transit in January?
- +$0.24at 0.959Jones-Aspinall date announced before February?
- +$0.09at 0.979COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?
- +$0.07at 0.962Will NDP win the most seats in the 2024 Saskatchewan general election?
- +$0.05at 0.976Will Russia capture Havrylivka by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 12:27 | Israeli forces enter Tyre by September 30? | BUY | 0.9897010207 | $2.88 |
| 09-09 12:26 | Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | SELL | 0.978 | $3.07 |
| 08-09 01:02 | Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | BUY | 0.97999972 | $3.08 |
| 08-09 01:02 | Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? | SELL | 0.955 | $2.86 |
| 07-23 02:39 | Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? | BUY | 0.9669999373 | $2.90 |
| 06-07 04:44 | Will Russia capture Havrylivka by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9759996202 | $2.22 |
| 05-14 04:44 | Will Vuk Jeremić be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | SELL | 0.998 | $3.09 |
| 04-06 02:54 | Will Vuk Jeremić be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.10 |
| 04-06 02:53 | Will the National Movement of Independents win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.10 |
| 03-14 04:51 | Will the National Movement of Independents win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.995 | $3.12 |
| 02-25 00:42 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 25? | BUY | 0.9939997646 | $3.10 |
| 02-25 00:41 | Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $3.10 |
| 02-09 14:03 | Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9699997653 | $3.10 |
| 01-30 02:19 | Will the price of Solana be less than $80 on February 1? | BUY | 0.996 | $3.09 |
| 01-12 06:12 | Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the January Meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $3.08 |