PolyBot

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Traders

rncole

0xe76db8b207592dfe0d75f1f5c633e7ee829e1266

Realised P&L
$-3.1k
Volume
$161.8k
Markets traded
94
Open portfolio
$5.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded94
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 4–8%? · Yes0.0380.001$2.42−$90.73
Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by less than 4%? · Yes0.0750.001$1.13−$83.88
Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 8–12%? · Yes0.0040.001$1.01−$3.03
Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 8–12%? · Yes0.0200.004$0.96−$3.32
Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by less than 4%? · Yes0.1100.001$0.06−$6.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET · Up0.1100.000$0.00−$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00−$10.00
Solana Up or Down - October 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET · Down0.2400.000$0.00−$100.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET · Down0.0360.000$0.00−$26.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00−$30.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET · Up0.3490.000$0.00−$275.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET · Up0.0690.000$0.00−$47.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET · Up0.0490.000$0.00−$37.36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET · Up0.0560.000$0.00−$93.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:09Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.0127650865$72.60
10-27 07:55Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.29$101.50
10-26 07:48Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.35$5.95
10-25 20:39Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.3$309.00
10-25 20:38Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?SELL0.3205641749$227.28
10-25 20:11Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?BUY0.1431028889$12.88
10-25 20:10Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?BUY0.2152721609$19.70
10-25 20:09Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.26$208.00
10-25 19:09Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.28$78.40
10-25 19:07Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?SELL0.024$32.60
10-25 19:07Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?SELL0.025$29.00
10-25 19:06Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?SELL0.0265$0.53
10-25 19:06Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?SELL0.031$0.93
10-25 18:07Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.31$49.60
10-25 18:07Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?SELL0.7999708738$205.99